With the statistical mid-year (both in terms of the calendar
and release-wise) just behind us, it is worth taking a snapshot of where the
New Theatrical release market is … and is likely to be heading.
Using full-year and year-to-date comparisons for 2009
through 2014 (as a baseline), the new theatrical release market has averaged
51.7 percent of the overall annual output at this point on the release calendar.
For 2015, the new theatrical release market has generated
311 new films to date (with a reported box office gross), which yields a
full-year projection of 601 (this would be the fourth year in a row that annual
output has been in excess of 600 new theatrical releases.
For the “hit” arena — films that gross in excess of $25
million — the industry is right on target to deliver 104 films of this ilk. That’s about the optimum when you factor in
available theatrical seating and the number of release weeks that occur each
year (52).
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